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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.29vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.50+1.91vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.79+0.04vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.31vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.71+0.55vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-2.01vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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3.91Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.04Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.31Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.55Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.99Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.91Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 77.6% | 17.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.3% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 4.6% |
| Eli Erling | 9.0% | 32.5% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.4% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 6.3% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 30.8% | 32.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.5% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 4.9% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 20.8% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.