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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.30vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79+0.99vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.50+0.97vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.30vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.71+0.56vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-2.02vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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2.99Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.97Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.3Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.56Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.98Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.9Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 75.7% | 19.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 9.9% | 31.4% | 27.4% | 17.7% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Brynna Smith | 5.2% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 24.1% | 21.0% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.4% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 24.1% | 18.5% | 6.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 30.9% | 32.5% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.7% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 5.3% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 20.8% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.