Race 9A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kutschenreuter 49.5% 27.2% 12.4% 6.6% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Cyr 10.7% 13.3% 16.1% 17.8% 16.6% 12.6% 7.1% 4.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Matthew Graham 14.2% 17.3% 20.7% 17.5% 14.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 0.9% 1.9% 3.5% 3.6% 4.7% 9.2% 12.4% 17.0% 20.2% 26.6%
Nathaniel Walden 3.0% 4.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.4% 12.1% 17.0% 16.5% 14.0% 8.6%
Matthew Thompson 8.8% 12.3% 13.5% 13.8% 17.5% 14.3% 10.1% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6%
Jamie Gay 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.3% 5.3% 6.4% 9.7% 15.2% 23.6% 33.0%
Anthony Julian 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 4.3% 7.6% 7.7% 12.1% 16.6% 22.5% 22.0%
Eric DeFeo 8.0% 14.8% 14.5% 18.5% 14.6% 12.5% 10.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Charlie Trost 2.2% 5.0% 6.0% 7.7% 8.4% 14.0% 16.8% 17.4% 13.6% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.