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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+6.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.29+5.28vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.08vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.09vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+3.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22+0.75vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82-0.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-1.91vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.02+4.40vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-1.46vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-5.85vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.81-1.91vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-5.30vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.40-4.96vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.79-7.59vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.14-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08College of Charleston2.498.8%1st Place
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7.28Yale University2.297.9%1st Place
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7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.8%1st Place
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8.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.8%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania2.427.2%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.034.2%1st Place
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8.75Brown University2.225.8%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University1.825.2%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University2.128.0%1st Place
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15.4SUNY Maritime College-0.020.9%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University1.714.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.409.5%1st Place
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12.09Old Dominion University1.812.6%1st Place
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9.7Boston University1.394.4%1st Place
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11.04North Carolina State University1.403.2%1st Place
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9.41Cornell University1.795.3%1st Place
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12.41University of Wisconsin1.142.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Will Murray | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Mason Stang | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 51.2% |
| Will Priebe | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Robert Chase | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.