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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.30vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79+0.97vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.50+0.97vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.31vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.53-1.00vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.71-0.44vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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2.97Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.97Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.31Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.0Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.56Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.9Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 76.4% | 18.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 10.0% | 32.7% | 26.9% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Brynna Smith | 5.1% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 4.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.3% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 19.0% | 6.7% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.1% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 5.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.2% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 30.0% | 32.1% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 21.5% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.