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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.29vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.75+2.26vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.50+0.94vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.71+1.60vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79-1.93vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-2.02vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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4.26Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.94Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.6Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.07Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.98Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.86Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 76.5% | 18.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.5% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 16.4% | 6.9% |
| Brynna Smith | 5.0% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 20.6% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 30.4% | 34.3% |
| Eli Erling | 8.8% | 32.4% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.8% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 20.7% | 21.9% | 13.9% | 4.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 23.3% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.