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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-1.75+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25-0.72vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.50+0.72vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.79-1.08vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.71+0.22vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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1.28University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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3.72Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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2.92Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.22Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.79Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Irwin | 3.9% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 26.7% | 16.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 76.7% | 19.1% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.8% | 16.4% | 23.0% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 9.7% |
| Eli Erling | 9.4% | 32.5% | 27.7% | 19.3% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 60.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.1% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 24.9% | 22.5% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.