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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25-0.71vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.75+1.04vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.50-0.26vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.71+0.20vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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1.29University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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4.04Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.74Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.2Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.82Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 11.0% | 32.5% | 26.6% | 17.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 75.9% | 19.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.0% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 27.9% | 14.9% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.3% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 24.0% | 24.5% | 8.7% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.9% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 61.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.9% | 16.2% | 20.9% | 23.7% | 23.6% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.