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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.30vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79+0.92vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.50+0.74vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.53-0.21vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.71+0.20vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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2.92Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.74Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.79Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.2Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.05Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 76.7% | 17.2% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 9.2% | 34.8% | 25.5% | 18.3% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Brynna Smith | 5.3% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 22.7% | 24.0% | 10.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.0% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 25.9% | 23.2% | 10.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 60.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.7% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 22.2% | 26.1% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.