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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.50+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25-0.72vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.79-0.11vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.05vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.71+0.20vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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1.28University of Wisconsin1.250.8%1st Place
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2.89Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.05Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.2Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.81Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brynna Smith | 4.9% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 12.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 76.0% | 19.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 10.5% | 34.0% | 24.8% | 20.3% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.4% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 29.0% | 14.8% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 59.4% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.1% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.