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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+7.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+5.08vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+5.44vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.57+6.91vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+2.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.24vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.15-2.46vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.49-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.09+3.23vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-0.87vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-0.85vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.38-5.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.53vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-4.22vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.40-8.65vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.60-5.29vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.01-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Yale University2.7314.1%1st Place
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9.86Fordham University1.984.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.226.1%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University2.104.2%1st Place
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11.91North Carolina State University1.572.9%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.025.3%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.6%1st Place
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5.54Stanford University3.1513.2%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston2.496.8%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin1.092.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Miami2.324.1%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University1.593.4%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College2.386.5%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.5%1st Place
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10.78Bowdoin College2.033.1%1st Place
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7.35Georgetown University2.407.6%1st Place
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11.71University of South Florida1.602.6%1st Place
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13.75University of Texas1.011.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 14.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Abe Weston | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 21.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| William Michels | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Matias Martin | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.