Race 9A

old-guard

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Thomas Barrows 19.1% 19.8% 12.6% 10.0% 9.8% 7.6% 7.8% 4.4% 3.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Massimo Soriano 5.4% 5.6% 7.9% 7.1% 6.9% 8.4% 8.3% 9.5% 8.1% 8.6% 8.1% 7.1% 5.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Fred Strammer 13.0% 11.9% 12.4% 10.8% 9.9% 9.8% 9.1% 7.1% 6.7% 4.2% 2.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Pellegrini 6.4% 7.8% 9.2% 7.5% 7.9% 7.6% 9.4% 7.4% 9.2% 9.0% 7.4% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Alan Palmer 12.7% 12.7% 9.6% 11.1% 10.6% 10.5% 9.5% 7.4% 5.5% 4.1% 3.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Vincent Andrews 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 3.5% 3.0% 4.5% 5.3% 4.6% 6.6% 6.8% 10.3% 12.7% 15.4% 15.6% 3.9%
Anne Haeger 12.3% 11.6% 10.4% 11.0% 9.9% 9.4% 9.8% 6.8% 6.0% 4.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Gary Herring 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 6.9% 5.8% 5.3% 8.4% 8.4% 10.5% 7.9% 10.7% 9.4% 6.8% 1.4%
Kelly Cooke 1.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.1% 3.0% 4.9% 5.6% 6.9% 8.7% 16.6% 30.0% 13.1%
Johnny Norfleet 6.6% 4.8% 8.6% 7.3% 7.7% 8.9% 8.5% 9.5% 9.3% 9.1% 5.9% 7.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Andrew Sommer 6.4% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 7.5% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.8% 5.8% 3.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Krysta Rohde 3.4% 2.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.6% 6.2% 4.6% 7.9% 8.2% 7.6% 12.9% 11.1% 11.4% 8.1% 1.3%
Brendan Hannon 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 4.3% 5.8% 6.9% 9.9% 13.3% 15.8% 16.3% 5.0%
Halsey Richartz 4.9% 4.7% 6.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.5% 6.2% 10.2% 8.4% 10.7% 8.9% 7.7% 6.8% 3.1% 0.4%
Michael Weigand 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 5.3% 10.0% 73.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.