Race 10A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kutschenreuter 50.7% 25.7% 12.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric DeFeo 9.5% 12.1% 17.1% 16.4% 16.3% 12.3% 8.6% 5.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Matthew Thompson 7.3% 11.2% 13.8% 14.6% 16.2% 16.2% 11.1% 6.8% 1.9% 0.9%
Matthew Graham 13.0% 20.6% 21.0% 17.9% 12.8% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Will Cyr 10.4% 15.3% 15.6% 17.6% 15.0% 13.1% 8.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6%
Steven Catlin 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 5.1% 8.3% 11.3% 16.7% 22.3% 25.2%
Anthony Julian 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 5.1% 6.6% 7.3% 12.9% 19.5% 20.7% 22.5%
Charlie Trost 2.4% 4.6% 6.1% 8.0% 9.8% 12.9% 17.6% 16.6% 14.1% 7.9%
Nathaniel Walden 2.3% 4.6% 6.2% 7.7% 10.1% 12.9% 15.7% 16.5% 16.5% 7.5%
Jamie Gay 0.9% 1.5% 2.7% 3.0% 4.8% 7.8% 9.9% 14.1% 20.2% 35.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.