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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+0.55vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.53+1.20vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.360.00vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.74-0.51vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.63-0.44vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.36-0.69vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-6.34-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55University of Wisconsin0.130.6%1st Place
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3.2Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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3.0Grand Valley State University-1.360.1%1st Place
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3.49Western Michigan University-1.740.1%1st Place
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4.56Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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5.31Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
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6.9Saginaw Valley State University-6.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 62.7% | 24.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 11.8% | 21.7% | 24.5% | 23.7% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Corder | 11.6% | 27.7% | 26.5% | 20.6% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack LeFevre | 9.1% | 15.8% | 24.3% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bricco | 3.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 33.3% | 26.7% | 1.5% |
| Zach Sonkin | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 20.9% | 55.5% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 93.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.