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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+0.55vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.36+0.99vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+0.21vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.74-0.52vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.63-0.45vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.36-0.68vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-6.34-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55University of Wisconsin0.130.6%1st Place
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2.99Grand Valley State University-1.360.1%1st Place
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3.21Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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3.48Western Michigan University-1.740.1%1st Place
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4.55Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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5.32Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
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6.9Saginaw Valley State University-6.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 62.3% | 25.0% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 13.9% | 24.2% | 27.3% | 20.9% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 9.9% | 23.2% | 24.7% | 24.2% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack LeFevre | 8.9% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 24.5% | 19.6% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bricco | 3.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 33.2% | 26.8% | 1.5% |
| Zach Sonkin | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 20.1% | 56.2% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.