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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+0.50vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.36+0.91vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+0.13vs Predicted
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4Hope College-3.05+0.95vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.74-1.57vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.36-0.80vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-6.34-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5University of Wisconsin0.130.6%1st Place
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2.91Grand Valley State University-1.360.1%1st Place
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3.13Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.95Hope College-3.050.0%1st Place
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3.43Western Michigan University-1.740.1%1st Place
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5.2Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
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6.88Saginaw Valley State University-6.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 64.4% | 25.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 14.0% | 26.0% | 29.1% | 19.0% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 10.3% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 24.9% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 33.4% | 35.7% | 3.0% |
| Jack LeFevre | 8.6% | 17.4% | 24.8% | 26.4% | 17.5% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Zach Sonkin | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 25.4% | 49.9% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 92.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.