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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.25-0.28vs Predicted
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3American University-0.06+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.70-0.23vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.81-0.99vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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1.72University of Virginia1.250.5%1st Place
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3.02American University-0.060.2%1st Place
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3.77University of Virginia-0.700.1%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.69Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 17.7% | 27.5% | 26.3% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 54.2% | 26.3% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 15.1% | 21.5% | 25.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 6.8% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 24.7% | 32.8% | 4.7% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 25.1% | 34.9% | 9.1% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.