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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.75vs Predicted
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3American University-0.06+0.04vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.81-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.70-1.12vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72University of Virginia1.250.5%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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3.04American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.92William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Virginia-0.700.1%1st Place
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5.69Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 54.0% | 27.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Young | 18.0% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 1.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 15.0% | 20.6% | 25.2% | 25.1% | 12.8% | 1.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.9% | 8.9% | 18.2% | 22.8% | 37.6% | 5.6% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 5.5% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 26.1% | 30.6% | 8.2% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.