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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.70+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.25-1.46vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.81-0.43vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.82+0.54vs Predicted
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6American University-1.50-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Virginia-0.700.1%1st Place
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1.54University of Virginia1.250.6%1st Place
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3.57William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.54Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
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4.34American University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 19.0% | 34.7% | 25.8% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 7.8% | 17.2% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 19.8% | 4.2% |
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 61.2% | 27.0% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.1% | 13.3% | 21.6% | 31.1% | 21.8% | 4.1% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 75.7% |
| Ryan Curtis | 3.1% | 6.3% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 39.9% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.