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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.25-0.44vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.70-0.57vs Predicted
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5American University-1.50-0.61vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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1.56University of Virginia1.250.6%1st Place
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3.56William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Virginia-0.700.1%1st Place
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4.39American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.55Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 20.2% | 35.3% | 25.0% | 13.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 60.9% | 25.3% | 11.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.8% | 13.3% | 24.2% | 28.7% | 22.2% | 3.8% |
| Jackson Eshelman | 7.5% | 17.4% | 24.3% | 28.8% | 19.4% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Curtis | 2.9% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 39.3% | 17.8% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 13.9% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.