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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.25+0.85vs Predicted
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2American University-0.06+1.24vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18-0.02vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.81+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.26-1.94vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of Virginia1.250.5%1st Place
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3.24American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.11William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Virginia0.260.1%1st Place
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5.76Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 48.3% | 29.1% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Karl Wagerson | 13.5% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.5% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 24.1% | 12.4% | 1.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.5% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 45.9% | 6.9% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 14.6% | 22.4% | 25.3% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.