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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.25+0.87vs Predicted
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2American University-0.06+1.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.26-1.10vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.81-0.76vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Virginia1.250.5%1st Place
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3.25American University-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Virginia0.260.2%1st Place
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4.24William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.75Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Centanaro Garcia | 47.5% | 28.2% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Karl Wagerson | 12.2% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.6% | 20.8% | 24.8% | 24.2% | 12.5% | 1.1% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 18.3% | 21.2% | 25.4% | 22.9% | 11.3% | 0.9% |
| Julia Hudson | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 46.5% | 9.8% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 8.5% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.