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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+6.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.13vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.71+6.82vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.14vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.57vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82+1.28vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.11vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-2.76vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81+1.19vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.14+0.72vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-2.97vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-5.45vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.50vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-5.37vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.88-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6College of Charleston2.497.8%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University2.458.3%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.7%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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5.14Yale University2.7314.4%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.858.9%1st Place
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8.57University of Pennsylvania2.425.4%1st Place
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9.28George Washington University1.825.5%1st Place
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9.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.166.0%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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12.19Old Dominion University1.811.6%1st Place
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12.72University of Wisconsin1.141.4%1st Place
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10.03Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University2.126.2%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.2%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.033.1%1st Place
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10.61SUNY Maritime College1.883.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% |
| Jack Egan | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Will Murray | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 20.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 25.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.