Race 1B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
George Kutschenreuter 39.0% 28.2% 16.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Seago 26.6% 25.6% 21.8% 13.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Rush 2.7% 4.1% 5.4% 8.2% 9.1% 13.1% 16.5% 19.5% 13.4% 8.0%
Allison Prange 5.7% 9.4% 14.0% 17.5% 17.8% 15.6% 10.0% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6%
Geoff Pedrick 14.0% 17.7% 20.5% 20.0% 13.2% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Aras Karaitis 5.6% 5.4% 9.2% 11.9% 15.4% 16.6% 13.2% 12.2% 8.3% 2.2%
Adam Flanders 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 6.5% 8.1% 12.4% 15.8% 16.4% 19.5% 14.5%
Jeffrey Miller 1.4% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 6.7% 10.5% 12.5% 16.2% 20.2% 20.9%
Peter Petersen VI 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 3.0% 4.9% 4.7% 9.3% 12.5% 18.5% 43.8%
Patrick Farrell 2.5% 3.7% 4.7% 6.5% 11.0% 14.3% 16.0% 14.3% 17.2% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.