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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.26+0.22vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.43-0.97vs Predicted
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5American University-1.50-0.63vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.82-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Virginia Tech0.180.3%1st Place
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2.22University of Virginia0.260.4%1st Place
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3.48William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Virginia-0.430.2%1st Place
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4.37American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.55Catholic University of America-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 30.0% | 29.7% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 36.0% | 27.5% | 20.8% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Julia Hudson | 11.4% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 28.5% | 23.1% | 3.7% |
| Maxwell Penders | 16.5% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 24.0% | 12.5% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 41.5% | 18.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 14.3% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.