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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.90+2.68vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+0.47vs Predicted
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3American University-1.07+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.88-0.39vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.56-0.38vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.26-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Virginia-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.47William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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3.88American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Virginia-0.880.1%1st Place
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4.62Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
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2.74Virginia Tech-0.260.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 11.6% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 17.5% |
| Sam Dutilly | 32.9% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Anika Liner | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 23.9% | 19.4% |
| Patrick McBride | 12.7% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 13.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 42.6% |
| Brock Diaz | 25.2% | 24.0% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.