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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.26+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.90+1.60vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.06-0.56vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.88-1.28vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.56-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Virginia-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.44William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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3.88American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Virginia-0.880.1%1st Place
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4.58Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Diaz | 24.1% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Mason Chapman | 13.8% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 14.6% |
| Sam Dutilly | 31.9% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Anika Liner | 11.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 23.1% | 19.5% |
| Patrick McBride | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| Benedict Gorman | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.