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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.90+2.42vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+0.33vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.26-0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.88-0.61vs Predicted
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5American University-2.12+0.01vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.56-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Virginia-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.33William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.53Virginia Tech-0.260.3%1st Place
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3.39University of Virginia-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.01American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.31Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 13.2% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
| Sam Dutilly | 34.3% | 26.6% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Brock Diaz | 28.4% | 25.2% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Patrick McBride | 14.4% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 7.3% |
| Jacob Juros | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 21.5% | 53.7% |
| Benedict Gorman | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 29.3% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.