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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.90+2.45vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+0.34vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.26-0.45vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.56+0.27vs Predicted
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5American University-2.12+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.88-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Virginia-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.34William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.55Virginia Tech-0.260.3%1st Place
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4.27Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
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5.01American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Virginia-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 13.2% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 10.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 34.7% | 26.0% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Brock Diaz | 27.4% | 26.3% | 21.0% | 16.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 27.6% | 25.7% |
| Jacob Juros | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 22.1% | 53.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 14.4% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 19.5% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.