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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.90+2.64vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+0.46vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.26-0.31vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.91-1.27vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.56-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Virginia-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.46William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.69Virginia Tech-0.260.3%1st Place
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3.9American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.58Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chapman | 11.9% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 15.7% |
| Sam Dutilly | 33.0% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Brock Diaz | 26.6% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Anika Liner | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 23.8% | 18.9% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| Benedict Gorman | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.