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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.07+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.90+1.61vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.06-0.56vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.26-1.28vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.56-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.91-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Virginia-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.44William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.72Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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4.63Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anika Liner | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 20.7% |
| Mason Chapman | 13.7% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 15.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 33.3% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 24.5% | 23.8% | 23.3% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 43.3% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.