← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia0.70+0.90vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-0.26+0.91vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary-0.06-0.31vs Predicted
-
4Catholic University of America-1.56+0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-0.91-1.18vs Predicted
-
6American University-2.12-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9University of Virginia0.700.5%1st Place
-
2.91Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
-
2.69William and Mary-0.060.2%1st Place
-
4.54Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
-
3.82University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.14American University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 47.0% | 28.9% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Brock Diaz | 18.4% | 23.3% | 24.7% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| Sam Dutilly | 20.7% | 25.8% | 26.8% | 18.8% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 33.0% | 28.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 7.5% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 26.6% | 22.2% | 13.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 24.6% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.