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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.23vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.38+1.62vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.81+3.55vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.44+2.12vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.69+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.75-2.33vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University1.25-2.41vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.27-1.51vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.32-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
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3.62Northwestern University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.55Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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2.65University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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7.12University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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6.65Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Minnesota1.750.1%1st Place
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5.59Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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8.44Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 39.2% | 26.4% | 17.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 13.3% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Rush | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 24.3% | 29.8% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Flanders | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 14.8% |
| Patrick Farrell | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 9.6% |
| Allison Prange | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Aras Karaitis | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 24.3% | 18.5% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.