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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+0.56vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.76+2.08vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.35-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas-0.49-0.23vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.12-1.57vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.12-2.57vs Predicted
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7Texas Christian University-1.99-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56University of Texas1.630.6%1st Place
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4.08University of Texas-0.760.0%1st Place
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2.76Northwestern University0.350.2%1st Place
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3.77University of North Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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3.43Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.43Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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5.39Texas Christian University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 61.2% | 26.1% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Norman | 4.3% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 31.0% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 16.8% | 28.8% | 26.7% | 18.0% | 8.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 7.5% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 26.5% | 26.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 9.0% | 19.3% | 24.0% | 22.1% | 18.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 9.0% | 19.3% | 24.0% | 22.1% | 18.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Luella Madison | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 68.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.