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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.76+2.12vs Predicted
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3Texas Christian University-1.99+2.29vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.12-0.68vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.35-2.12vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.12-2.68vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.49-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55University of Texas1.630.6%1st Place
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4.12University of Texas-0.760.0%1st Place
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5.29Texas Christian University-1.990.0%1st Place
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3.32Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.88Northwestern University0.350.2%1st Place
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3.32Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.83University of North Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 62.2% | 25.2% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Norman | 4.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 30.0% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Luella Madison | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 66.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 10.2% | 17.9% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 15.5% | 29.0% | 23.2% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 10.2% | 17.9% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 5.7% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 23.6% | 27.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.