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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.22vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.11vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+9.26vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+1.83vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+4.59vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.36vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-0.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+0.96vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.50vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-1.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-2.11vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.49-6.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-6.37vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.14-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Yale University2.7314.9%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University2.459.0%1st Place
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12.26Old Dominion University1.812.5%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania2.425.8%1st Place
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6.83Brown University2.858.0%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.033.9%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.166.0%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
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9.96Boston University1.394.2%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.5%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University1.824.8%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
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7.53College of Charleston2.496.9%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.125.9%1st Place
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10.46SUNY Maritime College1.883.9%1st Place
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12.61University of Wisconsin1.141.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Will Murray | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.