Race 3B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Seago 29.0% 26.3% 18.0% 13.9% 6.1% 4.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
George Kutschenreuter 38.3% 27.5% 17.9% 11.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Prange 7.5% 8.5% 13.3% 14.7% 19.1% 15.5% 12.5% 5.2% 3.2% 0.5%
Sydney Rush 2.1% 3.4% 5.8% 8.9% 10.2% 16.5% 15.4% 15.6% 15.2% 6.9%
Patrick Farrell 2.9% 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 10.4% 11.2% 16.2% 18.4% 15.6% 9.0%
Peter Petersen VI 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 3.2% 4.0% 5.5% 7.6% 13.7% 17.1% 44.6%
Geoff Pedrick 12.3% 17.4% 21.1% 20.4% 13.9% 8.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Adam Flanders 1.4% 3.6% 3.8% 6.0% 9.3% 10.5% 14.6% 17.2% 17.8% 15.8%
Jeffrey Miller 1.7% 1.8% 3.5% 4.4% 7.2% 9.5% 13.3% 15.0% 23.7% 19.9%
Aras Karaitis 3.7% 5.6% 9.4% 10.9% 15.8% 17.6% 14.1% 13.1% 6.5% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.