Race 4B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
George Kutschenreuter 39.7% 25.3% 19.0% 9.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Farrell 3.3% 3.4% 4.5% 6.2% 10.2% 14.9% 14.6% 17.3% 15.5% 10.1%
Ryan Seago 25.8% 23.0% 24.5% 13.4% 9.5% 3.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Miller 0.8% 2.6% 2.9% 4.5% 6.6% 11.2% 13.5% 15.9% 21.8% 20.2%
Sydney Rush 3.3% 5.1% 5.9% 8.6% 11.1% 11.7% 15.4% 17.3% 14.8% 6.8%
Aras Karaitis 5.8% 6.0% 7.5% 12.2% 14.7% 16.8% 15.6% 11.6% 7.3% 2.5%
Adam Flanders 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 5.9% 7.4% 12.0% 16.3% 17.1% 19.0% 15.5%
Geoff Pedrick 12.4% 19.9% 19.5% 18.9% 13.6% 8.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Allison Prange 6.4% 11.4% 11.8% 17.3% 18.3% 14.4% 10.4% 7.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Peter Petersen VI 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 4.0% 3.6% 5.7% 8.4% 11.9% 18.6% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.