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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+5.73vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+1.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+4.39vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61+0.73vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.40+0.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.94+4.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90+0.85vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.28-4.97vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.27-1.11vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.56-3.99vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.10-6.63vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.43-5.36vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California1.40-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.785.3%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Naval Academy2.608.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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9.39Boston College2.404.7%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University2.619.7%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.408.5%1st Place
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12.34Fordham University1.942.3%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Military Academy2.055.9%1st Place
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8.71University of Miami2.326.3%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.784.1%1st Place
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12.85University of South Florida0.902.5%1st Place
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8.03Tulane University2.286.7%1st Place
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12.89Northwestern University1.272.5%1st Place
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11.01University of Hawaii1.563.4%1st Place
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9.37Jacksonville University2.105.0%1st Place
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11.64Webb Institute1.433.5%1st Place
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10.69University of Southern California1.403.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% |
| James Paul | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 20.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Jake Weinstein | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 19.4% |
| Trey Summers | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Luke Harris | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.