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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.69vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.56+0.54vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.80+1.82vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.37-1.22vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.00-1.55vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.54+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.93-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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2.69University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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3.54Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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5.82Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.78Indiana University0.370.2%1st Place
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4.45Washington University0.000.1%1st Place
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7.15Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 18.0% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 28.4% | 24.8% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 16.8% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Anna Kovacs | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 8.3% |
| John Hultquist | 15.4% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Marino | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Jenna Spray | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 29.0% | 27.7% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 15.2% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.