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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.69vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.80+3.01vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.56-0.54vs Predicted
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5Washington University0.00-0.62vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.37-2.17vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.54+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.93-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.10-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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2.69University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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6.01Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.46Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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4.38Washington University0.000.1%1st Place
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3.83Indiana University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.15Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 18.9% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 27.4% | 25.2% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 8.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 18.5% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Marino | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| John Hultquist | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Spray | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 26.4% | 29.4% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 47.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 21.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.