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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois-1.10+4.61vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.56+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.18-0.85vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.37-0.70vs Predicted
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5Washington University-1.53+1.36vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.01-0.52vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.27-2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.22-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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3.01Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.180.4%1st Place
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3.3Indiana University0.370.2%1st Place
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6.36Washington University-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.48Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.37Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Sheridan | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| Odey Hariri | 19.8% | 24.6% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 39.9% | 27.4% | 18.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| John Hultquist | 17.5% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Moore | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 36.0% |
| Sydney Leon | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% |
| George Warfel | 9.1% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Jack O'Connor | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.