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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.00+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.33vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.56+0.16vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.37-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.10+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.93+0.92vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.01-1.25vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.27-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Washington University0.000.1%1st Place
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2.33University of Wisconsin1.180.4%1st Place
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3.16Purdue University0.560.2%1st Place
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3.5Indiana University0.370.2%1st Place
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5.88University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.75Northwestern University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.42Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Marino | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 36.0% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 20.5% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| John Hultquist | 16.0% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 30.7% | 17.8% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 54.3% |
| Sydney Leon | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 24.9% | 19.6% |
| George Warfel | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.