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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.50+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.06+0.91vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.37+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.12vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-2.05+1.62vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.02-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.00-1.43vs Predicted
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9Washington University-1.65-3.20vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.29-2.88vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-2.77-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Purdue University0.500.4%1st Place
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2.91University of Wisconsin-0.060.2%1st Place
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5.33Michigan State University-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.62Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.57Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Notre Dame-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.8Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.12Northwestern University-2.290.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Illinois-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 42.5% | 25.8% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 22.2% | 25.0% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Crannell | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 11.0% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian Knox | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| Austin Porras | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 11.7% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 10.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Peter Spoerri | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| Ivan Shilov | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.