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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.27+5.57vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.69+3.87vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University1.25+1.81vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University2.38-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.63-2.61vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.44+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan3.02-5.20vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.81-2.38vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.32-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Wisconsin3.360.3%1st Place
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7.57University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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6.87Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.81Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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3.75Northwestern University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Minnesota2.630.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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2.8University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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6.62Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.52Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 34.9% | 27.3% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 20.8% |
| Patrick Farrell | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 10.1% |
| Aras Karaitis | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 13.5% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Burton | 15.9% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adam Flanders | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 14.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 24.3% | 24.6% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Rush | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 6.6% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 19.0% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.