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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+5.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.39vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.39+6.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.49+2.34vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73-1.03vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+4.85vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.70vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-0.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-2.69vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.14-0.66vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.44vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.82-7.03vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Roger Williams University2.459.0%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.2%1st Place
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9.72Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.859.5%1st Place
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7.34College of Charleston2.498.3%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.7315.3%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University1.812.5%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.2%1st Place
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8.3University of Pennsylvania2.425.5%1st Place
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9.66Cornell University1.794.0%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University2.125.7%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College2.033.9%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin1.142.1%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Maritime College0.721.3%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.4%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University1.825.0%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 15.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
| Will Murray | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 18.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 32.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.