Race 3B

rebecca-blank

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Delaney Smith 49.8% 27.9% 13.0% 6.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Justin Skene 20.5% 27.9% 23.0% 15.9% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Annabel Bridges 12.5% 14.4% 21.7% 21.2% 16.3% 8.5% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.9% 10.7% 15.2% 18.3% 18.2% 15.1% 9.1% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5%
Cecilia Patrick 2.3% 3.2% 4.8% 5.8% 9.3% 9.7% 15.2% 18.2% 17.7% 13.8%
Kate Crannell 4.2% 4.9% 8.3% 10.6% 14.1% 16.3% 15.3% 13.8% 8.9% 3.6%
Ivan Shilov 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 2.5% 3.3% 6.2% 11.1% 10.5% 20.3% 43.2%
Ian Knox 1.4% 3.0% 3.9% 5.7% 8.4% 13.0% 13.3% 17.1% 19.7% 14.5%
Austin Porras 1.5% 3.2% 2.9% 5.4% 9.6% 13.2% 13.4% 16.6% 18.0% 16.2%
Jacob Hsia 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.4% 11.3% 13.5% 17.2% 16.4% 13.0% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.