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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.06+1.62vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.37+2.92vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.50-1.21vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-2.05+2.15vs Predicted
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6Washington University-1.65+0.39vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.02-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-2.77-0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.65-5.43vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-2.00-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Northwestern University1.330.5%1st Place
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3.62University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.92Michigan State University-1.370.0%1st Place
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2.79Purdue University0.500.2%1st Place
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7.15Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.39Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.16Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Illinois-2.770.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Notre Dame-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 49.5% | 28.0% | 13.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 11.2% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Crannell | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Justin Skene | 20.1% | 27.1% | 25.7% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 16.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Austin Porras | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 14.0% |
| Ivan Shilov | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 44.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.