← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University0.50+1.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin-0.06+1.01vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-0.34+0.28vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-1.370.00vs Predicted
-
6Washington University-1.65-0.56vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-2.03-0.77vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-2.00-1.80vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University-2.05-2.73vs Predicted
-
10University of Illinois-2.77-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Purdue University0.500.4%1st Place
-
3.01University of Wisconsin-0.060.2%1st Place
-
3.28Northwestern University-0.340.2%1st Place
-
5.0Michigan State University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.44Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
6.23Northwestern University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
6.2University of Notre Dame-2.000.0%1st Place
-
6.27Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.41University of Illinois-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 39.4% | 27.9% | 17.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 19.9% | 24.8% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 18.0% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kate Crannell | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
| Millie Rose Taub | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 14.1% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 13.3% |
| Ian Knox | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| Ivan Shilov | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.