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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.06+2.39vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.44+0.78vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.50-0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-2.00+2.56vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.37+0.47vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.34-2.20vs Predicted
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8Washington University-1.65-1.93vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-2.77-1.32vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-2.05-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Wisconsin-0.060.2%1st Place
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2.78Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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2.58Purdue University0.500.3%1st Place
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6.56University of Notre Dame-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.47Michigan State University-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.8Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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6.07Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Illinois-2.770.0%1st Place
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6.69Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annabel Bridges | 18.3% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 24.2% | 25.5% | 21.3% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Skene | 30.2% | 24.2% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 17.6% |
| Kate Crannell | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 5.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 8.6% |
| Ivan Shilov | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 49.4% |
| Ian Knox | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 23.7% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.