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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.50+1.59vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.44+0.75vs Predicted
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3Washington University-1.65+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.06-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.00+1.48vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.34-3.24vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-2.05-1.29vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.37-3.43vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.77-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Purdue University0.500.3%1st Place
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2.75Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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6.12Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Wisconsin-0.060.2%1st Place
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6.48University of Notre Dame-2.000.0%1st Place
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3.76Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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6.71Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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5.57Michigan State University-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Illinois-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 29.9% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 25.2% | 25.3% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 9.6% |
| Annabel Bridges | 18.2% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian Knox | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 24.0% | 18.2% |
| Kate Crannell | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 5.0% |
| Ivan Shilov | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.