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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy2.05+8.23vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+4.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+4.37vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.28+2.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.91vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10+1.23vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.55vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.43-0.31vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.27-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.56-2.93vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.40-7.17vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.94-3.76vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.40-6.30vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23U. S. Military Academy2.055.2%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University3.0511.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Naval Academy2.607.4%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island2.786.0%1st Place
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9.37Boston College2.404.7%1st Place
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8.01Tulane University2.287.6%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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9.23Jacksonville University2.105.6%1st Place
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6.4Stanford University2.6110.8%1st Place
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8.87University of Miami2.325.2%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.784.0%1st Place
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11.69Webb Institute1.433.2%1st Place
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12.81Northwestern University1.272.2%1st Place
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11.07University of Hawaii1.564.2%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University2.406.7%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University1.942.3%1st Place
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10.7University of Southern California1.404.2%1st Place
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12.93University of South Florida0.902.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Kelly Holthus | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 19.4% |
| Trey Summers | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% |
| Luke Harris | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.