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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.63+0.43vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.38-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.27+2.50vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University1.25-0.22vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.69-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.44-0.72vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.81-2.34vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.32-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
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2.86University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Minnesota2.630.2%1st Place
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3.78Northwestern University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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5.78Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.85Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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6.66Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.49Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 35.5% | 26.5% | 18.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 23.7% | 22.8% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Burton | 16.5% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 10.8% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 23.5% | 19.3% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Farrell | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 9.3% |
| Adam Flanders | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 15.4% |
| Sydney Rush | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 7.7% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.