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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+5.11vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.56vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.25+6.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24+2.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+2.17vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.39-0.18vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74+1.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.09+4.04vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University1.06+0.46vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.93-3.66vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.68vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.63-8.03vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.48vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.62-6.51vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.69Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.06Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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13.04Harvard University0.090.0%1st Place
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10.46Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College1.930.1%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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4.97Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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13.52Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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7.48Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Alex Abate | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Pesce | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 27.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 23.9% |
| Mason Stang | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 22.5% | 34.9% |
| Francis Selldorff | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.