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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+2.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+2.97vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+0.98vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.49+3.61vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+0.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.86+3.63vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.69-0.15vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+1.96vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.02-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.33-1.98vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.21vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-3.41vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.69-2.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49-3.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.94vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.82-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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4.97Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.98Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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9.79Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.59Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.04Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
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13.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.19Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 19.3% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 18.6% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Wiegand | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Horne | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Michael Morley | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 24.1% | 26.0% |
| Jack Schwab | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.