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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+2.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+2.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49+7.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.49+3.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.33+3.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+2.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-1.91vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+1.89vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.69-2.25vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.69+0.20vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.21vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.01-6.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-0.02vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-5.07vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.86-5.38vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.82-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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4.02Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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8.57Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.09Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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10.2Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.79Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.62Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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14.16Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 19.8% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 19.3% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Horne | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morley | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 23.3% | 26.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Griffin Lapham | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Schwab | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 18.8% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.