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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+6.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+2.01vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+7.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+1.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College0.86+4.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29-0.93vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+0.57vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.69-4.13vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.69-2.25vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+2.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49-0.29vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-2.00vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-5.09vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-6.35vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.82-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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4.01Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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10.15Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.91Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.59Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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5.07Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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3.87Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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6.75Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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12.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.78Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.65Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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14.19Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 18.8% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 21.2% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Morley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 23.4% | 26.8% |
| Alexander Horne | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 6.2% |
| William Wiegand | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Schwab | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 19.5% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.